The ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells 1/16-finals continue with several intriguing matchups. Ruud faces Vacherot in their first meeting, Alcaraz looks to extend his unbeaten run against Rinderknech, while Medvedev takes on in-form Baez. With form and experience playing key roles, there are a few solid betting angles to consider.
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells 1/16-Finals
Vacherot – Ruud: 09.03.2026 22:00 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Valentin Vacherot has won three of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, Vacherot defeated Borges in the opening match in straight sets.
Casper Ruud has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, the Norwegian defeated Shevchenko in straight sets. He offered and saved three breakpoints. Last season in Indian Wells, Ruud lost to Giron in the second round. He has never made it past the quarterfinals here.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Ruud is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He dominated in the opening round against Shevchenko. Ruud is a more experienced Masters 1000 player than Vacherot, and we believe he will be a better player tonight.
That being said, Ruud winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Casper Ruud winning @1.57 @bet365
Alcaraz – Rinderknech: 10.03.2026 02:00 CEST
H2H: 5-0
Carlos Alcaraz has won fifteen straight matches. He has yet to lose a match this season. This week in Indian Wells, the Spaniard demolished Dimitrov in the opening match in straight sets. He offered and saved only one breakpoint.
Arthur Rinderknech has won three of his last five matches. J.M. Cerundolo withdrew from the opening match against Rinderknech. Last season in Indian Wells, the Frenchman lost to Borges in the opening match in three tight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Alcaraz is the heavy favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He played his best tennis against Dimitrov and looks unbeatable. We expect Alcaraz to dominate and get a comfortable win tonight.
That being said, Alcaraz covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Carlos Alcaraz -6.5 games handicap @2.20 @bet365
Medvedev – Baez: 10.03.2026 03:30 CEST
H2H: 1-0
Daniil Medvedev has won five straight matches. Last week in Dubai, Medvedev won the ATP 500 title. He was the finalist here twice and has yet to win the title. This week, the Russian defeated Tabilo in the opening match in straight sets. He offered no breakpoints.
Sebastian Baez has won four of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, Baez defeated Tseng in the opening round in straight sets. He offered and saved all three breakpoints. In the second round, the Argentine upset Lehecka in straight sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Medvedev is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is in great form and enjoys playing in Indian Wells. We expect him to dominate in this match and get a comfortable win.
That being said, Medvedev covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Daniil Medvedev -5.5 games handicap @2.10 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-Imagn Images