The semifinals at WTA Indian Wells are packed with the best players in the World. No competitor is ranked below No. 14 in the World rankings. Three of the four are inside the top 10, and two of them are in the top three in the World. In an administrative note, 75% of our bets hit the day before last, and 50% of my best bets hit yesterday. If you cashed in, please let us know in the comments.
WTA Indian Wells
Sabalenka – Noskova: Time 15:00
H2H: 1-0
Aryna Sabalenka will play Linda Noskova for only the second time ever. Their only other meeting was in 2023 during the finals of WTA Adelaide. Sabalenka won that match in straight sets, but Noskova acquitted herself nicely. She pushed the second set to a tiebreak after a 6-3 first set. Sabalenka is hoping to make her third final at WTA Indian Wells in four years. Noskova’s last final was in October of last year.
Best Bet to Make
Noskova is a 6-1 underdog in this match, and that’s on average. While I’m sure the books accounted for her play against Sabalenka in their last match, it’s likely the 9-4 start compared to Sabalenka’s 15-1 start that has the odds so large. Noskova needed three sets to get past the 112th-ranked player in the World in the last round. Sabalenka has played one match that went past the second set.
That being said, Under 20 games is a value bet for sure.
Value bet/the best odds: Under 20 games @1.95 @10Bet
Rybakina – Svitolina: Time 17:00
H2H: 3-3
Elena Rybakina and Elina Svitolina meet for the seventh time, with the series knotted at three apiece. Svitolina took their last match at WTA Madrid. The third-round match was won in straight sets. Rybakina, on the other hand, won two of their last three. Svitolina won the only match played on a hardcourt, which was a three-set affair at the 2021 Tokyo Olympics.
Best Bet to Make
The books have Rybakina as a stronger favorite than I thought they would. The average sits at 2.74-1.43 in favor of Rybakina. Both ladies are riding a four-game winning streak, but Svitolina has two of them in her last ten games compared to Rybakina’s one. Both of them also win ~70% of their games on a hardcourt. Give then odds against her and her career track record against Rybakina, I’d have to say taking Svitolina straight up at 2.79 on 1xBet is the best bet out there. I’m not predicting she will win, but this is easily one bet I would take a flier on.
That being said, Svitolina winning is a value bet for sure.
Value bet/the best odds: Svitolina winning @2.79 @1xBet
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey–USA TODAY Sports