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Why Iga Swiatek should feel encouraged ahead of Roland Garros despite Rome defeat

Why Iga Swiatek should feel encouraged ahead of Roland Garros despite Rome defeat
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Iga Swiatek lost to Elina Svitolina, 4-6, 6-2, 2-6, in the semi-finals of the Italian Open.

The resurgent Pole couldn’t quite get over the line to reach her first final of the year in Rome.

How highly would you rate Elina Svitolina’s chances of winning the French Open out of 10?

(Getty Images)

But with Roland Garros right around the corner, Swiatek has plenty to look forward to.

Iga Swiatek actually won more points than Elina Svitolina in their Italian Open semi-final

Swiatek fell short against Svitolina, but was arguably better than the scoreline would suggest.

Highlighting a key statistic from the semi-final, Coco Gauff’s former coach, Brad Gilbert, posted the following message on X.

Iga Swiatek hits a backhand to Elina Svitolina in the Italian Open semi-finals
Photo by Clive Brunskill/Getty Images

“What a solid effort from double Lina [Elina Svitolina], taking out Iga [Swiatek],” said Gilbert.

“Very interesting stat you don’t see very often, Iga won two more points in the match, especially with a 6-2 third set.”

Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina – Match stats

Stats Iga Swiatek Elina Svitolina
Aces 2 2
Double faults 1 6
1st Serve % 61% 55%
Win % on 1st Serve 64% 64%
Win % on 2nd Serve 38% 42%
Points won 88 86
Break points 5/16 6/9
Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina – Match stats

Swiatek won 88 points to Svitolina’s 86 in her three-set defeat on Thursday evening.

So after a strong week, even in defeat, Swiatek remained competitive.

And the Pole was in dire need of a ‘strong week’, having made a slow start to life under Francisco Roig.

When Swiatek hired Roig for the clay-court season, many wondered if she would rediscover the form that saw her win four Roland Garros titles.

Things took a little longer than expected, though, as Swiatek struggled in Stuttgart and Madrid before bouncing back in style at the Italian Open.

Iga Swiatek’s record since hiring Francisco Roig (6-3)

Swiatek’s wins over Elisabetta Cocciaretto, Naomi Osaka, and Jessica Pegula, where she dropped a combined seven games, were reminiscent of the player who was once the dominant force on clay.

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If she can play like that at the French Open, she could well be in line to win her fifth title…

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Swiatek re-entered the title conversation with her performances in Rome, but she’s far from a clear favourite to win Roland Garros.

But what’s interesting is that nobody is.

Swiatek’s biggest rival, and last year’s runner-up, Aryna Sabalenka, has yet to find her footing on clay this season.

The Belarusian lost to Hailey Baptiste in the Madrid Open quarter-finals, and then lost to Sorana Cirstea in the third round of the Italian Open.

Traveling to Paris with a 4-2 record on clay, Sabalenka doesn’t look nearly as formidable as she did a few months ago when she won Indian Wells and the Miami Open.

Aryna Sabalenka reacts during the 2026 Italian Open
Photo by Julian Finney/Getty Images

Then, there’s Coco Gauff.

The American, like Sabalenka and Swiatek, was struggling to find her groove on clay, but has impressed in the Italian capital.

Winning several thrilling three-set matches, Gauff booked her place in the Italian Open final, reminding fans how she won the Roland Garros title a year ago.

Still, you wouldn’t describe Gauff’s 2026 clay-court campaign as dominant.

The only ‘dominant’ player we’ve seen on clay this year is Marta Kostyuk.

Kostyuk won the Open de Rouen event before clinching the Madrid Open title.

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The Ukrainian is unbeaten on clay this year, although there are question marks surrounding her ability to perform at the Grand Slam events.

She has never been past the fourth round at Roland Garros, a statistic you cannot ignore when assessing her French Open chances.

The likes of Elena Rybakina, Mirra Andreeva, and Svitolina are all worth mentioning, too, but unlike previous years, there is no one clear favourite.

It remains to be seen who will emerge victorious at Roland Garros, but with the field this open, you certainly won’t want to miss any of the action.

The 2026 French Open begins on Sunday, May 24.

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