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Series Preview: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Series Preview: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies

The Milwaukee Brewers are back in town this weekend, as they’ll host the Philadelphia Phillies for a three-game set beginning Friday night. The Brewers, at 41-25 on the season, sit in first place in the NL Central, 3.5 games ahead of the Cardinals entering Thursday’s play. They’re coming off a 4-2 road trip in which they swept the Rockies and dropped two of three against the A’s in Las Vegas.

On the other side, the Phillies sit at 37-31 and in second place in the NL East, eight games behind the NL-leading Atlanta Braves. After getting out to a dismal 9-19 start that resulted in the firing of manager Rob Thomson, the Phils have rattled off a strong month-and-a-half, with a 28-12 record since April 27 under interim manager Don Mattingly.

The Brewers are currently without starters Quinn Priester, Logan Henderson, and Brandon Woodruff. Woodruff is expected to rejoin the team in Milwaukee this weekend, and he’ll potentially make his return next week against the Guardians. Priester continues to struggle with his command during his rehab assignment, while Henderson is targeting a July return. Relievers Jared Koenig, Angel Zerpa, Rob Zastryzny, Brian Fitzpatrick, DL Hall, and Carlos Rodriguez are also out, with Zerpa out for the season, Fitzpatrick evaluating whether to get Tommy John surgery, Hall out until late July, Rodriguez with a TBD return, and Zastryzny and Koenig on their way back. Outfielder Brandon Lockridge is also nearing a rehab assignment as he recovers from a knee injury.

UPDATE: While I was writing this, Priester was returned from his rehab assignment again and remains on the IL.

The Phillies are without outfielder Johan Rojas, who is out for the season after a suspension followed by a torn right UCL. Left-hander Kyle Backhus just began a rehab assignment, and outfielder Adolis García is considered day-to-day with a pulled muscle in his throwing arm. Lastly, top prospect Aidan Miller (MLB No. 14), who is with Philadelphia’s Triple-A affiliate, is out until August with a back injury.

Offensively, the Brewers are led by Jake Bauers, Brice Turang, Jackson Chourio, William Contreras, and Christian Yelich. Catcher Gary Sánchez’s power made a return during the team’s recent road trip, while Andrew Vaughn continues to mash against lefties. Garrett Mitchell, Sal Frelick, David Hamilton, Joey Ortiz, Blake Perkins, and Luis Rengifo round things out. As a team, the Brewers are hitting .254/.340/.389 (.729 OPS ranks eighth) with 57 homers (27th), 352 runs (third), and 68 steals (third).

The Phillies’ big 1-2 remains Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber. Schwarber leads the majors with 24 homers this season, as he’s hitting .239/.358/.575 with 100 strikeouts to 42 walks over 65 games. Harper, who has 15 homers, is hitting .267/.376/.517. Alec Bohm and Brandon Marsh have eight homers each, and Marsh leads the team with a .326 batting average. The aforementioned García is hitting just .195 but he does have seven homers, and Trea Turner and Bryson Stott both remain speed threats with 26 steals between them (14 for Turner, 12 for Stott). J.T. Realmuto is in the midst of another down year, and he’s sharing time behind the plate with Rafael Marchán and Garrett Stubbs. Edmundo Sosa, former Brewer Steward Berroa, and prospect Justin Crawford (the son of Carl Crawford) round out the squad. As a team, the Phillies are hitting .228/.298/.389 (.687 OPS ranks 27th), with 86 homers (ninth), 276 runs (24th), and 54 steals (tied for 10th).

After all of the injuries, Milwaukee’s bullpen leaders as it stands are Trevor Megill, Abner Uribe, Grant Anderson, and Aaron Ashby. Chad Patrick has also been effective in his bullpen role (though he did allow three runs in Wednesday’s loss). Rookie Coleman Crow appears to be moved to the bullpen, too, and newbies Joel Kuhnel and Drew Rom round things out. As a staff, the Brewers have a 3.47 team ERA (fourth), including a 3.50 starter ERA (fifth) and a 3.43 bullpen ERA (eighth). They’ve struck out 639 batters (tied for second) over 591 1/3 innings.

Jhoan Duran leads the Phillies’ bullpen, as he has a 1.99 ERA and 17 saves in 18 chances this season. José Alvarado and Brad Keller are tied for the team lead with 30 appearances apiece, though Alvarado’s 5.25 ERA over 24 innings isn’t ideal (Keller’s 3.38 ERA over 29 1/3 innings is much better). Orion Kerkering has also been solid, with a 2.10 ERA over 25 2/3 innings. Tanner Banks (6.08 ERA over 23 2/3 IP), Tim Mayza (3.41 ERA over 29 IP), Chase Shugart (3.48 ERA over 20 2/3 IP), and Jonathan Bowlan (3.92 ERA over 20 2/3 IP) fill the rest of the ‘pen. As a staff, the Phillies have a 4.01 team ERA (12th), including a 4.14 starter ERA (13th) and a 3.79 bullpen ERA (12th). They’ve struck out 641 batters (first) over 606 1/3 innings.

Friday, June 12 @ 6:40 p.m.: RHP Jacob Misiorowski (7-2, 1.50 ERA, 1.91 FIP) vs. RHP Andrew Painter (1-7, 6.21 ERA, 5.09 FIP)

Misiorowski continues to mow down hitters at a crazy rate, as he leads the majors with 116 strikeouts over just 78 innings. He also sports a league-best 0.808 WHIP, allowing just 4.7 H/9. He’s allowed a whopping one earned run since the end of April, spanning 45 1/3 innings over seven starts. In that time, he has a perfect 6-0 record and 65 strikeouts, including at least eight strikeouts in all of those appearances. He’s coming off a seven-inning outing against the Rockies, in which he allowed an unearned run on four hits, three walks, and a hit batter, striking out eight. Miz’s only career appearance against the Phillies came last September, when he allowed three runs on six hits and a walk, striking out four over 4 1/3 innings in a no-decision.

Painter is a highly regarded prospect who has unfortunately dealt with injuries early in his career. Even so, he’s just 23, though he hasn’t had much success here in his rookie season. Across 12 appearances (11 starts), Painter has totaled 58 innings, with a 6.21 ERA, 5.09 FIP, and 47 strikeouts. He’s lost each of his last three outings, allowing 12 runs over 14 1/3 innings against the Guardians, Dodgers, and White Sox. This marks Painter’s first career appearance against Milwaukee.

Saturday, June 13 @ 6:10 p.m.: LHP Shane Drohan (3-1, 3.11 ERA, 2.71 FIP) vs. RHP Aaron Nola (3-4, 5.86 ERA, 4.21 FIP)

Drohan, who made his MLB debut as a starter but then followed with 10 bullpen outings, is set for his third turn through the rotation since rejoining this month. He has a 3.11 ERA, 2.71 FIP, and 37 strikeouts across 37 2/3 innings this season, and the Brewers dominated in both of his recent starts. In those games, he allowed five runs on nine hits and three walks, striking out nine over 10 1/3 innings as the Crew won 16-2 against the Giants and 12-4 against the Rockies. This marks Drohan’s first career appearance against Philadelphia.

Nola, 33, is in his 12th MLB season, all of which have been with the Phillies. While “even year” Aaron Nola was very much a thing entering this year — he had a 2.37, 3.28, 3.25, and 3.57 ERA in 2018, 2020, 2022, and 2024, respectively, compared to a 3.87, 4.63, 4.46, and 6.01 ERA in 2019, 2021, 2023, and 2025, respectively — he hasn’t had a very “even year” kind of year in 2026. Across 13 starts, he has a 5.86 ERA, 4.21 FIP, and 68 strikeouts over 66 innings. He got roughed up in his last appearance, allowing five runs on six hits and four walks while striking out four over 4 1/3 innings against the White Sox. Nola has made 15 career starts against Milwaukee, with a 7-3 record, a 3.09 ERA, and 101 strikeouts over 90 1/3 innings, though he got roughed up last September, allowing six runs in five innings in a loss.

Sunday, June 14 @ 1:10 p.m.: LHP Kyle Harrison (7-1, 2.72 ERA, 3.11 FIP) vs. LHP Cristopher Sánchez (8-2, 1.54 ERA, 1.85 FIP)

Harrison, who has a 2.72 ERA, 3.11 FIP, and 77 strikeouts across 59 2/3 innings this season, is coming off his worst start as a Brewer, though that can be blamed at least in part on the environment of Las Vegas Ballpark. He went just 2 1/3 innings, allowing eight runs on eight hits and a pair of walks with four strikeouts on 71 pitches, but the Brewers were able to pull out a 15-14 comeback win in 12 innings. Harrison has made a pair of starts against the Phillies while with the Giants, one in 2023 and one in 2024. In those games, he’s totaled six runs allowed on 17 hits and two walks, striking out 10 over 8 1/3 frames.

Sánchez, 29, has developed into one of the best pitchers in MLB. After finishing second in NL Cy Young voting and leading all pitchers with an 8.1 bWAR in 2025, he’s doing it again in 2026. Across 14 starts, he leads the league with 93 1/3 innings and a 5.0 bWAR, sporting a 1.54 ERA, 1.85 FIP, and 113 strikeouts. After allowing no runs in the month of May, he eked out an NL Pitcher of the Month Award over Misiorowski. Sánchez is coming off his worst start in a while, though, as he allowed all of two runs over seven innings, still picking up 10 strikeouts in a 5-2 win over the Blue Jays. Sánchez has made three career appearances (two starts) against the Brewers, with a 2.03 ERA and eight strikeouts over 13 1/3 innings.

Friday, June 12: Brewers TV; listen via radio on the Brewers Radio Network (620 WTMJ in Milwaukee)

Saturday, June 13: Brewers TV & nationally on FS1; listen via radio on the Brewers Radio Network (620 WTMJ in Milwaukee)

Sunday, June 14: Brewers TV; listen via radio on the Brewers Radio Network (620 WTMJ in Milwaukee)

The Phillies and Brewers both got out to sluggish starts and both have turned it on over the last month-plus to push themselves well over .500. This should be a fun series with some great pitching matchups. Give me the Crew to eke out two of three.

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