The Australian Open always sets the tone for the tennis season, and 2025 is no exception. With established stars returning and a new wave of explosive young talent emerging, bettors and fans can find exceptional value by looking beyond the usual favorites.
Hard courts in Melbourne reward power, athleticism, and fearlessness, traits that several rising players possess in abundance.
This year’s field is deeper than ever, making it the perfect moment to identify high-upside prospects capable of producing breakout runs.
Below, we analyze five men’s players who combine favorable form, surging momentum, and game styles ideally suited for Melbourne Park.
1. Arthur Fils
Arthur Fils enters the Australian Open as one of the most compelling value plays of the season. At just 21, he displays the confidence, athleticism, and shot-making needed to trouble even top-tier opponents on hard courts.
His upward trajectory is unmistakable: consecutive Masters 1000 quarterfinal runs highlight not only his growing consistency but also his ability to compete at the very highest level against proven veterans.
Fils thrives on fast surfaces that reward his explosive first step and penetrating groundstrokes. His backhand, struck flat and early, cuts through the court and puts immediate pressure on opponents.
Just as importantly, he shows the mental toughness required to convert tight moments, a trait that elevates his value in best-of-five formats.
For bettors searching for upside, Fils stands out because he is still climbing. Oddsmakers often underrate emerging players who peak quickly, and Fils fits that mold.
If he maintains his recent form, he is fully capable of producing a deep run at the year’s first major and delivering considerable value for those tracking Australian Open odds.
2. Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Few rising prospects possess a single weapon as devastating as Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard’s serve. Consistently cracking speeds of 153 mph, his delivery is already one of the biggest in men’s tennis, and on the scorching hard courts of the Australian Open, that advantage becomes even more pronounced.
The Frenchman’s power ensures he starts nearly every service game on the front foot and earns free points that allow him to stay fresh deep into long matches.
However, Perricard offers more than pure velocity. His height gives him a tremendous angle on both first and second serves, making his delivery exceptionally difficult to read. When he follows it with aggressive first-ball strikes, opponents struggle to turn points around.
This raw power gives him the potential to upset virtually any seeded player in the draw.
Because big servers typically outperform their ranking early in their careers on fast hard courts, Perricard presents strong betting value.
If he strings together a few dominant serving performances, he can quickly become one of the most dangerous floaters in the Australian Open.
3. Jack Draper
Jack Draper remains one of the most intriguing young talents in the men’s game, especially for bettors seeking players with a high ceiling at the Australian Open.
His combination of a heavy lefty forehand, powerful serve, and court-penetrating backhand makes him exceptionally dangerous on Australian hard courts.
When healthy, Draper dictates rallies with ease, taking time away from opponents and controlling the baseline with confidence.
Despite some inconsistency in past seasons, Draper’s 2025 US Open semifinal run serves as a reminder of his elite potential. That performance demonstrated not only his fitness improvements but also his ability to maintain a high level over extended matches.
In Melbourne, where conditions reward pace and aggression, Draper’s fearlessness is a major differentiator.
The key for bettors is identifying players with top-10 upside who remain undervalued. Draper fits that profile perfectly. When he strings together several matches of clean ball-striking, which he often does, he becomes one of the most difficult unseeded or mid-seeded players to draw.
His upside makes him a strong value target for the Australian Open. This is reflected in the latest tennis insights and trends.
4. Ben Shelton
Ben Shelton has rapidly evolved from a promising college standout into a legitimate threat in the upper tier of the ATP Tour. His trajectory has been remarkable: a quarterfinal appearance at both the Australian Open and a semifinal berth at the US Open already confirm his ability to raise his level on the biggest stages.
As a 23-year-old armed with a cannon serve and a swagger rarely seen in players his age, Shelton arrives in Melbourne with both confidence and proven results.
Shelton’s lefty serve is among the most explosive on tour, generating wicked angles that open the court immediately. His athleticism allows him to follow through and finish points at the net with authority, a valuable advantage in Australian Open conditions that favor aggressive, first-strike tennis.
His natural ability to feed off the crowd’s energy only amplifies his performance in marquee matches.
With his ranking still rising and his game improving each season, Shelton remains undervalued relative to his potential.
For bettors in search of an American contender capable of producing a deep run in Melbourne, Shelton stands out as one of the most reliable and exciting high-value options.
5. João Fonseca
João Fonseca has quickly become one of the most exciting young names in men’s tennis, and the Australian Open presents the perfect stage for his breakout.
At just 18, the Brazilian phenom already owns signature wins, most notably defeating Andrey Rublev, showing that he is not intimidated by elite opponents.
What makes Fonseca such a compelling value pick is his rare blend of athleticism, instinct, and shot-making creativity.
Fonseca plays with a dynamic energy that translates exceptionally well on fast courts. His forehand explodes off the strings, and his court coverage allows him to turn defense into sudden offense.
As he gains experience, his ability to sustain this high-tempo style over five sets continues to improve, making him a dangerous underdog against higher-ranked players.
With expectations still modest and seeding not yet reflecting his true potential, Fonseca is the kind of player who can disrupt the Australian Open draw.
His upside is enormous, and bettors looking to capitalize on emerging talent will find him one of the tournament’s most intriguing long-shot values.
A Deep Field Creates Value Opportunities
The 2025 Australian Open showcases a bottomless pool of rising men’s talent, giving fans and bettors a rare opportunity to find value beyond the household names. Arthur Fils, Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, Jack Draper, Ben Shelton, and João Fonseca each bring a unique combination of form, power, and upside that can translate into surprising success in Melbourne.
In a tournament known for early-season volatility and breakout performances, these five contenders stand poised to exceed expectations and shake up the draw.
*Content reflects information available as of 2025/12/02; subject to change.

