A massive Week 14 college football slate is headlined in part by the Iron Bowl — the Alabama Crimson Tide vs. the Auburn Tigers on Saturday night. The Crimson Tide are 9-2 and trying to secure a spot in the SEC Championship; the Tigers have lost a slew of one-possession games and find themselves at 5-6.
Let’s dive into my Alabama vs. Auburn predictions.
Alabama vs. Auburn odds
– Money line: Alabama -218 / Auburn +180
– Point spread: Alabama -5.5 (-108) / Auburn +5.5 (-112)
– Over/Under: Over 46.5 (-105) / Under 46.5 (-115)
Alabama vs. Auburn best bet #1: Under 46.5 (-110)
The total has come down from 48.5, which is really no surprise. The Crimson Tide are 10th nationally in scoring defense at 16.2 points per game allowed; the Tigers are giving up just 20. 1 ppg. Alabama is also No. 9 in total defense (270.5 yards per game allowed); Auburn is top 40 in that department (333.6 yards per game allowed). Despite being 1-6 in the SEC, the Tigers do not give up points easily. They are No. 11 against the run (94.0 yards per game allowed) and fifth in yards per rushing attempt allowed (2.7).
Unfortunately for the home team, its offense has been inept. In five of its six losses, Auburn has scored 17 points or fewer — and that even includes one double-overtime game. The Tigers lost to Kentucky 10-3 at home earlier this month. Ashton Daniels has returned to the starting quarterback role and he has played in just three games during the 2025 campaign. Throughout his college career (including three years at Stanford), Daniles has thrown almost as many interceptions (21) as touchdowns (23). Auburn generally plays fundamental football — a recipe for unders. The Tigers can run the ball and stop the run. When they do go on scoring drives, more often than not they feature a lot of running plays that use up plenty of clock.
There have been some wild Iron Bowls in recent years that have been high on scoring, but those actually don’t outweigh the relative defensive struggles. Five of the last 10 head-to-head meetings have produced no more than 46 points.
Alabama vs. Auburn best player prop bet: Jeremiah Cobb Over 72.5 rushing yards (-114)
Cobb has rushed for at least 72 yards in four of the last five games, including four in a row against SEC opponents. This stretch features three performances of 111 yards or more. The junior from Montgomery, Ala. has exceeded this 72.5 quota six times this season, five of which have been well over 100 yards.
There is no reason to think that Cobb will slow down against Alabama. As a considerable underdog, Auburn will want to run the ball as often as possible and keep the clock moving. It’s the way to attack the Crimson Tide’s defense, anyway. ‘Bama is No. 4 in the entire nation against the pass, but it is giving up 121.8 rushing yards per contest on 3.8 yards per attempt. Count on Cobb getting a ton of carries, so even a mediocre effort by his standards should see him past 72.5.