The ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells 1/32-finals continue with several intriguing clashes. Musetti faces Fucsovics in a tricky first meeting, Monfils takes on in-form Auger-Aliassime, while Giron meets rising talent, Mensik. With form, fitness, and court conditions all playing a role, there are a few interesting value angles to consider.
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells 1/32-Finals
Musetti – Fucsovics: 06.03.2026 21:30 CEST
H2H: first meeting
Lorenzo Musetti has won four of his last five matches. The last match he played was at the Australian Open, where he retired mid-match against Djokovic in the quarterfinals. Last season. The Italian lost to Fils in the third round in three tight sets.
Marton Fucsovics has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, the Hungarian defeated O´Connell in straight sets in the opening round. He has never made it past the fourth round here.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Fucsovics is the underdog in this matchup, but we disagree. He dominated in the opening round. On the other hand, Musetti is returning from injury,, and we are not sure if he is fully ready.
That being said, Fucsovics covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Marton Fucsovics +3.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365
Monfils – Auger-Aliassime: 06.03.2026 23:00 CEST
H2H: 1-1
Gael Monfils has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, Monfils defeated Galarneau in the opening round in straight sets. He trailed 0-2 in the opening set, but turned it around. Last season in Indian Wells, Monfils lost to Dimitrov in the third round.
Felix Auger-Aliassime has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Dubai, the Canadian lost to Medvedev in the semifinals in straight sets. He has never made it past the quarterfinals here.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Auger-Aliassime is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. The Canadian is in solid form and enjoys playing on fast courts. On the other hand, Monfils is far from his best level. We expect Auger-Aliassime to dominate and get a comfortable win.
That being said, Auger-Aliassime covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Felix Auger-Aliassime -4.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365
Giron – Mensik: 07.03.2026 02:00 CEST
H2H: 0-1
Marcos Giron has lost three of his last five matches. This week in Indian Wells, Giron won the opening match against Navone in three tight sets, after losing the opening set 4-6.
Jakub Mensik has won three of his last five matches. Last week in Dubai, Mensik lost to Griekspoor in the quarterfinals in three tight sets. Last season, Mensik lost to Khachanov in the second round in three sets.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Mensik is the clear favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He is in better form than Giron and has enough time to prepare for the upcoming match. On the other hand, Giron had a three-hour thriller in the opening round.
That being said, Mensik covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Jakub Mensik -3.5 games handicap @1.83 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images