With Selection Sunday 37 days away, we’ll periodically examine where IU basketball stands in bracketology projections. The full 2026 NCAA tournament field will be revealed on Sunday, March 15, 2026.
Indiana basketball is 15-8 overall and 6-6 in the Big Ten with eight regular-season games remaining. To date, the Hoosiers have outperformed their preseason computer rankings in the first season of the Darian DeVries era.
Here’s a look at current bracketology projections and where the Hoosiers stand, along with their current resume:
Quad 1: 2-8
Quad 2: 1-0
Quad 3: 5-0
Quad 4: 7-0
KPI: 53 (down four spots from last update)
Strength of Record: 44 (down seven spots from last update)
WAB (Wins Above Bubble): 43 (down four spots from last update)
BPI: 26 (down one spot from last update)
KenPom: 35 (down two spots from last update)
NET ranking: 33 (down three spots from last update)
Bart Torvik: 26 (down three spots from last update)
Here are IU’s eight remaining regular-season games with KenPom win probabilities as of Friday morning for each game:
Saturday, February 7 vs. Wisconsin: 64 percent chance of an IU win
Monday, February 9 vs. Oregon: 86 percent chance of an IU win
Sunday, February 15 at Illinois: 14 percent chance of an IU win
Friday, February 20 at Purdue: 18 percent chance of an IU win
Tuesday, February 24 vs. Northwestern: 78 percent chance of an IU win
Sunday, March 1 vs. Michigan State: 40 percent chance of an IU win
Wednesday, March 4 vs. Minnesota: 79 percent chance of an IU win
Saturday, March 7 at Ohio State: 41 percent chance of an IU win
The most recent bracketology update from Andy Bottoms is available here.
ESPN.com, Joe Lunardi
Lunardi’s latest projection, published Friday, February 6, has Indiana as a No. 9 seed. In the projection, the Hoosiers are playing No. 8 seed Utah State in San Diego, California.
Lunardi has 11 Big Ten teams projected to make the 2026 NCAA tournament field.
CBSSports.com
The most recent CBS Sports projection, published Friday, February 6, has the Hoosiers as the first team out of the field.
The last four teams in are Oklahoma State, Missouri, Saint Mary’s and California.
Delphi Bracketology
Delphi’s most recent update, published late on Thursday, February 5, has the Hoosiers as a No. 10 seed.
The first four teams out in that projection: Miami (FL), Ohio State, Virginia Tech and Missouri.
Our updated seed list. We meet during the day tomorrow and will scrub this list further. pic.twitter.com/8xQ7vXzB8H
— Delphi Bracketology (@DelphiBrackets) February 6, 2026
On3.com
The latest On3.com projection, written by James Fletcher on Thursday, February 5, has the Hoosiers as a No. 9 seed playing Auburn.
The last four byes are St. Mary’s, Georgia, UCLA and Miami (FL). The last four in are USC, Texas, New Mexico and Ohio State. The first four out are San Diego State, Oklahoma State, Seton Hall and California.
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