Anthony Joshua is facing more than just an opponent on December 19th; he’s battling for his legacy. That’s the stark warning from UFC legend Dan Hardy, who believes the former heavyweight champion’s blockbuster boxing match against Jake Paul carries a unique and dangerous risk to his standing in the sport.
Speaking on his YouTube channel, Hardy pointed to Tyson Fury’s difficult night against Francis Ngannou as a cautionary tale. He suggested that even a single moment of success for the inexperienced but powerful Paul could irrevocably shift the narrative around Joshua’s career.
The “Ngannou Effect”: A Precedent for Peril
Hardy drew a direct parallel to October 2023, when then-undisputed champion Tyson Fury was unexpectedly knocked down and pushed to a split decision by MMA star Francis Ngannou in the Cameroonian’s professional boxing debut.
“Look what happened with Fury and Ngannou,” Hardy stated. “One punch, one moment where Ngannou had success, and it changed the entire perception of that fight.” He warned that Joshua is in a similarly precarious position: “If Jake Paul lands one good shot, makes Joshua wobble, or has a good round, that’s all people will talk about. It overshadows everything else.”
For a fighter like Joshua, who has meticulously rebuilt his brand after back-to-back losses to Oleksandr Usyk, the threat isn’t just a loss—it’s any sign of vulnerability against a crossover star.
Pressure to “Destroy”: No Room for a Scrap
The overwhelming public expectation is that Joshua, a former two-time unified world champion and Olympic gold medallist, should handle Paul with ease. This, Hardy argues, creates an impossible standard.
“He’s not just expected to win; he’s expected to demolish him,” Hardy explained. “If this turns into a competitive fight, if Joshua has to dig deep, that’s a problem. His brand is built on being an elite, dominant heavyweight. A hard night against Jake Paul dismantles that.”
Joshua himself has acknowledged the pressure, vowing to “destroy” Paul. This pledge now sets the bar for his performance, leaving little room for anything less than a commanding, highlight-reel victory.
Mind Games and Physical Advantages
Hardy also analysed the pre-fight dynamics, noting Paul’s attempt to psychologically level the playing field. At their face-off, Paul famously stood on a raised platform to negate Joshua’s significant height and reach advantage—a move Hardy sees as clever gamesmanship.
“It’s all about perception,” said Hardy. “Paul is trying to plant that seed, to make Joshua second-guess the physical dominance everyone assumes he’ll have. Joshua can’t afford to play that game. He needs to be cold, clinical, and stick to a perfect technical fight.”
A Legacy-Defining Night
As the December 19th date in Dallas approaches, the stakes for Anthony Joshua have been framed in the starkest terms. According to Dan Hardy’s analysis, this is not a routine tune-up or a simple payday.
It is a high-wire act where the reward—a lucrative win and silencing a critics—is matched by a severe risk: the chance that a single moment from Jake Paul could overshadow a decade of work and redefine Joshua’s legacy in the eyes of the boxing world.
