Geoff Neal vs. Uroš Medić at UFC Fight Night 267 in Houston is shaping up as a striker’s matchup with implications for the welterweight ladder and for how both men are viewed by bettors going forward.
Geoff Neal vs. Uroš Medić – UFC Odds
Most books have installed Neal as the favorite. UFC Houston odds lists Neal at around -200 and Medić at +165, reflecting respect for Neal’s strength of schedule and ranking but acknowledging Medić’s recent surge. A detailed odds Vegas prices list Neal roughly in the -180 to -195 band and Medić between +155 and +170, with a consensus average near Neal -185 and Medić +165 to +173. UK sportsbooks posts Neal at 8/15 and Medić at 6/4 on the “to win the bout” market, which translates to a similar favorite‑underdog split. Play more numbers with kasyno vulkan.
Books are treating this as a high‑finish fight. Both men have 10 KO/TKO wins on their record and only a handful of bouts going the distance, and several pricing breakdowns emphasize under 2.5 rounds and “fight doesn’t go to decision” as likely outcomes for bettors looking beyond the moneyline.
Neal has ended 10 of his 16 wins by knockout or TKO, including Vicente Luque and Mike Perry, and he has historically carried his power into the second and third rounds. Medić has finished all 12 of his wins inside the distance and has shown a strong pattern of early stoppages, with first‑round wins over Aalon Cruz, Tim Means, Urbina and Salikhov.
Neal comes in as the established name: A UFC fighter who has shared the cage with Stephen Thompson, Shavkat Rakhmonov and Ian Machado Garry, and is currently ranked No. 12 at welterweight. His record stands at 16-7 with 10 wins by knockout and two by submission, but he has dropped three of his last four, including a first‑round KO loss to Carlos Prates in August 2025. Medić, 12-3, has 10 knockouts and two submissions and has built momentum at 170 pounds with first‑round stoppages of Gilbert Urbina and Muslim Salikhov late in 2025.
This fight was originally booked as a rematch between Neal and Kevin Holland, with Medić stepping in when Holland withdrew, which adds pressure on Neal to justify his ranking against a late‑change opponent with less name value but serious finishing form.
From a betting perspective, the market favorite and the stylistic evidence point to Neal as the more reliable pick, especially in moneyline parlays or “Neal by KO/TKO” prop angles where the price reflects his established opposition and proven cardio. For bettors looking for higher‑risk upside, Medić’s early‑finish profile makes under‑rounds and “Medic by KO/TKO” props attractive.