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Super Bowl 60 picks: Best QB prop bets

Super Bowl 60 picks: Best QB prop bets
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Super Bowl 60 is set for Santa Clara, California on Sunday, February 8. It’s the New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks battling for the Lombardi Trophy, and it should be a good one. Both teams compiled 14-3 records during the regular season before New England advanced with playoff wins over the Chargers, Texans and Broncos, while Seattle took care of the 49ers and Rams.

Let’s take a look at the game odds and two of my favorite prop bets for Patriots vs. Seahawks.

Super Bowl 60 odds

Money line: Patriots +190 / Seahawks -230
Spread: Patriots +4.5 (-105) / Seahawks -4.5 (-115)
Total: Over 45.5 (-112) / Under 45.5 (-108)

Super Bowl prop bet: Sam Darnold Under 0.5 interceptions (+110)

The NFC Championship was the biggest game of Darnold’s pro career, and he played one of his best — completing 25 of 36 passes for 346 yards and three TDs without throwing an INT. The former No. 3 overall pick is interception-free through two playoff games and has not thrown a pick since Week 17. Darnold has not thrown an interception in six of his last 10 outings. The USC product tossed 14 interceptions during the regular season, but those mostly came in bunches (four against the Rams in Week 11, for example). Now, though, they aren’t coming at all. As for New England’s defense, it may be stout — but it also doesn’t grab many interceptions. It made only 10 INTs during the regular season while allowing 25 passing TDs.

Super Bowl prop bet: Drake Maye Over 30.5 pass attempts (-103)

This is an especially strong play if you think that the Patriots will be playing from behind. That is what the odds would suggest, as they are +4.5 underdogs. And many seem to agree given how good the Seahawks look these days. If New England is, in fact, trailing on the scoreboard most or all of the way, Maye will have to air it out. That is what a lot of Seattle’s opponents have been forced to do. During the regular season, the Hawks had the fifth most total pass attempts against them (600). Some of that also has to do with the fact that their run defense ranked third in the NFL and first in yards per carry allowed. For multiple reasons, teams have no choice but to throw. Unsurprisingly, Rams QB Matthew Stafford had 35 attempts in the NFC Championship. Meanwhile, Maye’s relatively pedestrian passing numbers so far in the playoffs can be disregarded due to brutal weather conditions. In the regular season, the 2024 No. 3 overall pick exceeded this 30.5 number in five of the last eight games. That stretch featured games with 34, 35, and 44 pass attempts.

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