With the Australian Open in the rearview mirror, it’s never too early to start looking ahead toward the tennis season’s second Grand Slam — the French Open.
Last year’s festivities at Roland Garros resulted in an epic final between Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner, with the Spaniard coming back from two sets and triple-championship point down to eventually triumph 4-6, 6-7(4), 6-4, 7-6(3), 7-6(10-2).
Between them, Alcaraz and Sinner have shared the last nine major titles dating back to the start of 2024. During this stretch, Alcaraz has lifted the trophy five times — including at the recent Australian Open — to Sinner’s four. Not since Novak Djokovic at the 2023 U.S. Open has anyone else on the men’s side won a slam title.
As such, it’s no surprise that Alcaraz and Sinner are massive favorites to win the French Open this spring. In addition to making wagers on the tournament, you can use this tool to calculate estimated player returns.
2026 French Open men’s singles odds
Carlos Alcaraz +125
Jannik Sinner +140
Alexander Zverev +1100
Novak Djokovic +1400
Jack Draper +1800
Lorenzo Musetti +2000
Joao Fonseca +2200
Arthur Fils +3000
Casper Ruud +3500
Jakub Mensik +4000
Stefanos Tsitsipas +4000
Francisco Cerundolo +5000
Daniil Medvedev +5000
Ben Shelton +5000
Tommy Paul +5000
Taylor Fritz +5000
Although Sinner came tantalizingly close to victory last year, you have to think that Alcaraz has a clear edge on clay. The current world No. 1 has triumphed in Paris twice in a row, whereas the Italian has never been the last man standing at this tournament. Part of the reason for those results is the discrepancy in long-match statistics between these two rivals. Clay-court contests at Roland Garros are often the longest, most physically demanding challenges in tennis. That’s where Alcaraz excels and Sinner falls short. Alcaraz is 13-1 lifetime in five-setters; by contrast, Sinner is 0-9 in matches that last more than three hours and 50 minutes.
Does anyone else have a chance at the French Open?
It’s hard to find value in other players on the outright Grand Slam market since a victory is so unlikely, but Lorenzo Musetti could nonetheless be one to watch at Roland Garros. Clay is the Italian’s best surface and he advanced to the semifinals last year before retiring against Alcaraz (Musetti won the first set and forced a tiebreaker in the second before eventually retiring in the fourth). He is even excelling on other surfaces, too. The current world No. 5 has reached at least the quarters at every other major, including the Wimbledon semis in 2024.
Musetti is not far behind Djokovic and Alexander Zverev in the rankings; if the 23-year-old can move up to No. 3 or No. 4 prior to Roland Garros, he would avoid having to face Alcaraz or Sinner at least until the semifinals.