While WTA Miami is a WTA 1000 event, the semifinals look like something you’d see at any Major. Every competitor is ranked within the top 14 in the World, and one match will feature the World No. 1 vs the World No. 2 for the nineteenth time overall, and third time this year. These matches are as good as women’s tennis gets, and LWOS has your best bets for them. Share your thoughts and bets with us in the comments.
WTA Miami Semifinals
Sabalenka – Rybakina: Time 16:30
H2H: 10-8
Aryna Sabalenka will meet Elena Rybakina for the third time in 2026 and the nineteenth time overall. Their rivalry dates back to 2019, and this will be their twelfth overall hardcourt match. The last three matches between these two were in the finals, two of them at a Major or the WTA Final, and both of those were won by Rybakina. Rybakina has won two of the last three matches and three of the last five. When the World rankings are calculated at the end of the year, these are the matches that will mean the most to both competitors.
Best Bet to Make
Aryna Sabalenka has only lost once in 2026, but that loss was to Elena Rybakina. Rybakina has lost once in her last 10 matches, and that was to Sabalenka. Sabalenka is the favorite, but the average margin is about .25 points. I know that Sabalenka got the victory at WTA Indian Wells, but I think Rybakina is going to get her win back at Miami. She’s had one primary goal to focus on in 2026, and that’s finding a way to beat Sabalenka when it matters most. At 2.2 on bet365, Rybakina is a solid choice for the underdog.
That being said, Rybakina winning is a value bet for sure.
Value bet/the best odds: Rybakina winning @2.2 @bet365
Gauff – Muchova: Time 11:00
H2H: 5-0
Coco Gauff has not historically had a problem with Karolina Muchova. In fact, she’s literally never had a problem with her. Muchova has only ever pushed one of their matches to a third set, let alone come close to winning. I’m not saying she hasn’t been competitive, but “competitive” and “problem” are not the same thing. To Muchova’s credit, she did manage her best showing against Gauff when they met earlier this year at the Australian Open. If she can build off of that, she has a chance.
Best Bet to Make
Muchova is actually a very, very slight favorite in this match. By very, very, I mean that she’s a .02-point favorite, on average. Some books have Muchova as the underdog, but most have her tied or as the favorite. It’s really hard for me to think that she’s a true favorite in this match simply because she’s having a slightly better year than Gauff, especially when history has shown this match to be mighty favorable for Gauff. I like Gauff winning outright. Let Muchova win against her once before I pick her.
That being said, Gauff winning is a value bet for sure.
Value bet/the best odds: Gauff winning @1.96 @Unibet
Main Photo Credit: Susan Mullane–USA TODAY Sports