This week the Tour returns to Memphis to play the most underrated course on Tour (according to Billy Horschel).
TPC Southwind is well respected by the players. It’s a course that stresses versatility in the iron play and the ability to get up-and-down when greens are missed. The field usually averages around 60% of fairways hit and about 62% of greens in regulation hit.
The 18th hole is the final ‘critical’ hole of the course.
18 is an interesting hole because those that can hit a driver that finds the fairway will find the green about 80% of the time. But if you miss this fairway the GIR% drops to ~35%. And there’s also water on the left that comes into play on both the tee shot and approach.
The data shows that the average player in the field should utilize a target that is about 2-3 yards left of the last fairway bunker.
Projected Winning Score: -14
3JACK’S FAVORITES
Rory McIlroy +1,100
Byrson DeChambeau +1,200
Patrick Cantlay +1,600
Webb Simpson +2,000
Tyrrell Hatton +2,800
Hideki Matsuyama +2,800
3JACK’S DARK HORSE PICKS
Tony Finau +3,300
Joaquin Niemann +8,000
Shane Lowry +15,000
Tom Lewis +20,000
3JACK