A.J Brown Receiving Yards Odds (Now as a Patriot)
The Eagles have finally moved their disgruntled wide receiver A.J Brown, sending him to the New England Patriots for a 2028 first-round pick and a 2027 fifth-round pick. The deal was rumored for over a month, and I think both teams are relieved the trade has been finalized.
The winner of this deal won’t be determined for years, as the Eagles will have to wait until 2028 to see what they actually got for Brown, but from a fantasy perspective, a lot of AJ Brown fantasy managers are happy with the Quarterback upgrade.
However, sportsbooks (BET365) currently have AJ Brown’s receiving yards odds set at Over/Under 1049 (+100). Just 46 more yards than he had in 2025.
A.J Brown
2026 Receiving Yards Odds: 1049 (+100)
With odds of +100, I don’t think there’s a better offseason player prop bet, as this stat line should be achievable. However, as much as I like this total, the line is probably lower because AJB has missed games in the last two seasons. From a fantasy perspective, the veteran wide receiver who turns 29 at the end of the month does come with some risk vs. reward.
Drake Maye had a 72% completion percentage last season, which is an upgrade from Jalen Hurts’ 64%. Maye has also established himself as a statistically dominant deep-ball passer in the NFL. On throws traveling 20+ air yards, he boasts a historic completion percentage of nearly 70%, alongside an elite passer rating, repeatedly leading the league in Expected Points Added (EPA) on deep passes.
I think X-factor will come down to AJ Brown’s health. He could easily surpass 1049 receiving yards if he stays on the field in 2026.
AJ Brown Career Stats
Screenshot: ProFootball Reference