Buffalo transfer Ryan Sabol has committed to Providence he posted on instagram on April 15th. .The 6-3, 195-pound combo guard from Washington, D.C., is coming off a breakout junior season while leading the league in 3-pointers (73) and starting all 32 games for the Bulls. Sabol averaged 18.9 PPG, 3.2 RPG and 3.3 APG in 36.2 MPG while shooting 40.3% from three on a massive 303 attempts (122 made triples was a Buffalo single-season record). He also shot 85.9% from the free throw line and posted a 59.7% true shooting percentage. The junior reached 1,299 career points (15th in Buffalo history), earned All-MAC Third Team honors and became just the second Bull ever to post a 600-point, 100-assist season in the same year.
“Ryan is a team-first player and we are excited that he will be part of our program next season,” Bryan Hodgson said in a release. “His development has come through hard work and growth during his college career. He is a prolific scorer from the perimeter. He made 122 threes and shot 40 percent from beyond the arc last season. Ryan ranked seventh in the nation in made three pointers.”
Digging deeper, Sabol’s advanced metrics paint the picture of an elite shooter: 26.2% usage rate, 120.7 offensive rating (81st percentile), PORPAG of 5.0 (98th percentile), and a +0.79 BPM. He ranked in the 87th percentile nationally in 3-point shooting and the 83rd percentile in three-point rate while maintaining excellent ball security (12.0% turnover rate, 75th percentile). Sabol’s two most used possessions last season were Spot Up shooting (6 possessions per game) where he created a very good 1.078 PPP ranking 77th percentile and pick and roll ballhandler (5.2 possessions per game) where he was excellent at creating 0.994 PPP ranking 84th percentile. While some of the advanced metrics like DRAPM tell a negative story on defense, Synergy shows a more solid defensive profile than bad.
College Career Progression at Buffalo
- Freshman (2023-24): 8.1 PPG, 37.6% from three in 28.5 MPG
- Sophomore (2024-25): 14.4 PPG, 35.0% from three in 33.3 MPG
- Junior (2025-26): 18.9 PPG, 40.3% from three, All-MAC Third Team, school-record 122 threes
Sabol went to DC powerhouse Gonzaga HS. As a senior he averaged 11.3 PPG, 3.0 APG, 3.3 RPG, and 1.3 SPG while playing point guard. He was a low-profile recruit with no major offers from power conferences at the time and signed with Buffalo on April 20, 2023.
Sabol comes from basketball bloodlines. His father, Mike Sabol, played 19 games at forward for Georgetown (1988-90) after also playing at Gonzaga HS. That family connection to Big East basketball marks the second portal addition for Hodgson to have a Big East dad with Miles Byrd’s father, Calvin, playing at Villanova (1989-93).
Here is the Scouting Report from the pcbb1917 Portal Committee Bot in the pcbb1917 Discord:
Ryan Sabol JR • Washington, DC Wing Scorer | Buffalo (MAC) | 2025-26 6-3 • 32 Games
PER-GAME STATS
Points: 18.9 Rebounds: 3.2 Assists: 3.2 Steals: 0.7 Blocks: 0.1 Fouls: 1.2 TO Rate: 12.0% Minutes/Game: 36.2
SHOT DISTRIBUTION
FT: 79-92 (85.9%) [90th %ile]
↳ FT Rate: 19.7 [17th %ile]
2PT: 80-163 (49.1%) [39th %ile]
↳ Rim: 36-71 (50.0%) [22nd %ile]
↳ Mid: 40-90 (44.8%) [65th %ile]
3PT: 122-303 (40.3%) [87th %ile]
↳ 3PR: 65.0% [83rd %ile]
OFFENSIVE ROLE & IMPACT
Sabol operates as a high-usage scoring engine with strong efficiency, posting 26.2% usage rate alongside a 72nd percentile ORAPM of 1.02 that indicates solid offensive contribution. His 120.7 ORtg ranks in the 81st percentile, complemented by a 76th percentile true shooting percentage of 59.7% that underscores his scoring prowess within Buffalo’s system. This profile marks him as the Bulls’ go-to offensive option.
SHOT PROFILE & PLAYMAKING
Sabol’s shooting profile is elite overall, ranking in the 90th percentile from the free throw line (85.9%) with a 17th percentile free throw rate (19.7), 39th percentile two-point shooting (49.1%), 87th percentile three-point shooting (40.3%), and 83rd percentile three-point rate (65.0%). Inside, he hits 50.0% at the rim (22nd percentile) but excels in mid-range at 44.8% (65th percentile). His playmaking adds value through a 66th percentile assist rate (12.9%), paired with excellent ball security at the 75th percentile turnover rate (12.0%).
DEFENSIVE CONTRIBUTION
Sabol profiles as a below-average defender with a 22nd percentile DRAPM of 1.3202, indicating he allows more points than most players at his position. His adjusted defensive rating of 118.0 ranks in the 7th percentile nationally, highlighting clear defensive shortcomings. Peripherally, he contributes averagely with 50th percentile steal rate and 49th percentile defensive rebounding rate.
ADVANCED METRICS
Sabol’s advanced metrics paint a picture of an elite offensive producer with Average tier RAPM (-0.3002, 52nd percentile) driven primarily by his scoring impact. His PORPAG of 5.0 ranks in the 98th percentile, suggesting superstar-level overall productivity. His positive BPM (0.79) reflects the balance between offensive dominance and defensive weaknesses.
CAREER PROGRESSION
Sabol has demonstrated explosive development, boosting usage from 15.2% as a freshman to 20.7% as a sophomore and 26.2% as a junior while elevating ORtg from 102.3 to 100.8 before surging to 120.7. This junior-year offensive explosion marks a clear breakout from earlier modest efficiency. His PORPAG of 5.0 now cements his rise to high-end production.
PROVIDENCE FIT
Sabol’s statistical profile aligns solidly with the Hodgson system, earning an overall fit score of 80.5 driven by elite usage compatibility (95) and perfect shooting gravity (100). Moderate playmaking fit at 58 pairs with lower defensive scheme compatibility at 42, suggesting targeted role potential.
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