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Flèche Wallonne 2026 preview, profiles, favourites & predictions

Flèche Wallonne 2026 preview, profiles, favourites & predictions

Profile: Herstal – Mur de Huy

Herstal – Mur de Huy, 205.5 kilometers

205 kilometers and 3100 meters of climbing. That is the data you’ve got for this race, it is one that doesn’t feature any long ascent however it does feature a lot of rolling roads throughout the entire route. It’s a classic that suits the pure puncheurs and also some climbers, a race which is frequently quite controlled and sees a sprint finish up the very steep ramps of the final climb. The race starts in Chey, and has more climbing and distance than last year’s route due to the return of the Còte de Cherave.

This however has proven to be over the year a race which is only decided in the final climb, hence most favourites will just ride as conservatively as possibly until that point whilst their teams to the work to control the race. The race is decided on a circuit, of which there will be three laps of 37 kilometers in distance.

In each lap we’ve got the Côte d’Ereffe, summiting with 18.5 kilometers to go, having 2.2 kilometers at 5.4%. A small hilltop follows, but then the very fast and furious run-in to the Mur de Huy begins and that is where the race will be decided. Before getting there, there will be the Côte de Cherave which is 1.3 kilometers long at 7%, ending with 5.5 to go.

A grind, an ascent that gets steeper all the way up. It’s a pure anaerobic effort, and is ideal for the lightweight puncheurs and climbers. The ascent is 1.2 kilometers long at 10.3% and gets steeper and steeper towards the finish line. It’s an effort that is gradually upped all the way. The fight into the bottom of the climb is every year very intense, and once there it’s usually a lead up into the spring. The final 300 meters are very steep and so riders frequently try slightly earlier, but a long-range attack is unlikely to succeed.

The Favourites

Paul Seixas starts as the main favourite, although that is because of the form he showed at Itzulia Basque Country. On paper, this is not a race that suits him down perfectly, although the climb to Huy is much more suited to the climbers than the terrain of Amstel Gold Race. Hence this is ultimately a race that doesn’t have a ‘man to beat’. But it’s Flèche Wallonne, a race which doesn’t ordinarily have many tactics involved, just a long waiting game amongst the main favourites, a positioning battle into the climb and then throwing whatever’s left at its brutal gradients.
Then on the climber’s side you definitely have a few names standing out, such as Lenny Martínez who’s had a superb spring and whose featherweight build is perfect for these brutal ramps; Mattias Skjelmose who has shown great form at Amstel Gold Race and has here an even bigger chance to win in the absence of a Remco Evenepoel; and I would say Kévin Vauquelin who’s been second on the last two editions whilst racing for Arkéa and now, with INEOS backing him up, may have the chance of a lifetime to win a big classic.

Daniel Martínez, Jai Hindley, Yannis Voisard, Pello Bilbao, Tobias Joahnnessen, Ramses Debruyne, Lennert van Eetvelt, Jorgen Nordhagen, Ben Tulett, Valentin Paret-Peintre, Ilan van Wilder, Pavel Sivakov, Ion Izagirre and Cian Uijtdebroeks are similar riders who will also be hoping for the race to be as hard as possible from early on to remove the sting from the puncheurs’ legs.

Because on that side then you have some very meaningful favourites as well. Take Romain Grégoire, who made the winning move at Amstel Gold Race; and two days earlier was also the one to attack and create the favourites’ group at De Brabtantse Pijl. This race is less explosive, but he is going to be a major threat to everyone without a doubt.

I believe Mauro Schmid has a lot to give which wasn’t seen at Amstel, Benoìt Cosnefroy may be UAE’s big leader after what he did there; and from Christian Scaroni we can also realistically anticipate a victory if the Italian has his best legs.

More on the classics specialists side we also have Finn Fisher-Black, Julian Alaphilippe, Anthon Charmig, Andreas Kron, Clément Champussin, Mauri Vansevenant, Tim Wellens, Dylan Teuns and Iván Romeo.

Prediction Flèche Wallonne 2026: 

*** Paul Seixas, Lenny Martínez, Mattias Skjelmose

** Romain Grégoire, Kévin Vauquelin, Christian Scaroni

* Pello Bilbao, Tobias Johannessen, Valentin Paret-Peintre, Ion Izagirre, Cian Uijtdebroeks, Mauro Schmid, Benoît Cosnefroy, Clément Champoussin, Mauri Vansevenant

Pick: Lenny Martínez

How: The best on the steep climb.

Original: Rúben Silva

List of winners Flèche Wallonne

Year Country Rider Team
1936  Belgium Philemon De Meersman La Française
1937  Belgium Adolph Braeckeveldt Helyett
1938  Belgium Émile Masson Jr.
1939  Belgium Edmond Delathouwer Leducq-Mercier
1940 No race
1941  Belgium Sylvain Grysolle
1942  Belgium Karel Thijs
1943  Belgium Marcel Kint
1944  Belgium Marcel Kint
1945  Belgium Marcel Kint
1946  Belgium Désiré Keteleer Groene Leeuw
1947  Belgium Ernest Sterckx Alcyon–Dunlop
1948  Italy Fermo Camellini Métropole
1949  Belgium Rik Van Steenbergen Mercier–Hutchinson
1950  Italy Fausto Coppi Bianchi–Ursus
1951   Switzerland Ferdi Kübler Tebag
1952   Switzerland Ferdi Kübler Tebag
1953  Belgium Stan Ockers Peugeot–Dunlop
1954  Belgium Germain Derycke Alcyon–Dunlop
1955  Belgium Stan Ockers Elvé–Peugeot
1956  Belgium Richard Van Genechten Elvé–Peugeot
1957  Belgium Raymond Impanis Peugeot-BP
1958  Belgium Rik Van Steenbergen Elvé–Peugeot–Marvan
1959  Belgium Jos Hoevenaers Faema
1960  Belgium Pino Cerami Peugeot–BP–Dunlop
1961  Belgium Willy Vannitsen Gitane–Geminiani–Leroux–Dunlop
1962  Belgium Henri De Wolf Baratti–Milano
1963  France Raymond Poulidor Mercier–BP–Hutchinson
1964  Belgium Gilbert Desmet Wiel’s–Groene Leeuw
1965  Italy Roberto Poggiali Ignis
1966  Italy Michele Dancelli Molteni
1967  Belgium Eddy Merckx Peugeot–BP–Michelin
1968  Belgium Rik Van Looy Willem II–Gazelle
1969  Belgium Jos Huysmans Dr.Mann–Grundig
1970  Belgium Eddy Merckx Faemino
1971  Belgium Roger De Vlaeminck Mars–Flandria
1972  Belgium Eddy Merckx Molteni
1973  Belgium André Dierickx Flandria–Shimano–Carpenter
1974  Belgium Frans Verbeeck Watney–Maes
1975  Belgium André Dierickx Rokado
1976  Netherlands Joop Zoetemelk Gan–Mercier–Hutchinson
1977  Italy Francesco Moser Sanson
1978  France Michel Laurent Peugeot–Esso–Michelin
1979  France Bernard Hinault Renault–Gitane–Campagnolo
1980  Italy Giuseppe Saronni Gis Gelati–Colnago
1981  Belgium Daniel Willems Capri Sonne–Koga Miyata
1982  Italy Mario Beccia Hoonved–Bottechia
1983  France Bernard Hinault Renault–Elf–Gitane
1984  Denmark Kim Andersen Coop–Hoonved
1985  Belgium Claude Criquielion Hitachi–Splendor–Sunair
1986  France Laurent Fignon Système U
1987  France Jean-Claude Leclercq Toshiba–Look
1988  West Germany Rolf Gölz Superconfex–Yoko
1989  Belgium Claude Criquielion Hitachi–Merckx–Mavic
1990  Italy Moreno Argentin Ariostea
1991  Italy Moreno Argentin Ariostea
1992  Italy Giorgio Furlan Ariostea
1993  Italy Maurizio Fondriest Lampre
1994  Italy Moreno Argentin Gewiss–Ballan
1995  France Laurent Jalabert ONCE
1996  United States Lance Armstrong Motorola
1997  France Laurent Jalabert ONCE
1998  Denmark Bo Hamburger Casino–Ag2r
1999  Italy Michele Bartoli Mapei–Quick-Step
2000  Italy Francesco Casagrande Vini Caldirola–Sidermec
2001  Belgium Rik Verbrugghe Lotto–Adecco
2002  Belgium Mario Aerts Lotto–Adecco
2003  Spain Igor Astarloa Saeco
2004  Italy Davide Rebellin Gerolsteiner
2005  Italy Danilo Di Luca Liquigas–Bianchi
2006  Spain Alejandro Valverde Caisse d’Epargne–Illes Balears
2007  Italy Davide Rebellin Gerolsteiner
2008  Luxembourg Kim Kirchen Team High Road
2009  Italy Davide Rebellin Diquigiovanni–Androni
2010  Australia Cadel Evans BMC Racing Team
2011  Belgium Philippe Gilbert Omega Pharma–Lotto
2012  Spain Joaquim Rodríguez Team Katusha
2013  Spain Daniel Moreno Team Katusha
2014  Spain Alejandro Valverde Movistar Team
2015  Spain Alejandro Valverde Movistar Team
2016  Spain Alejandro Valverde Movistar Team
2017  Spain Alejandro Valverde Movistar Team
2018  France Julian Alaphilippe Quick-Step Floors
2019  France Julian Alaphilippe Deceuninck–Quick-Step
2020   Switzerland Marc Hirschi Team Sunweb
2021  France Julian Alaphilippe Deceuninck–Quick-Step
2022  Belgium Dylan Teuns Team Bahrain Victorious
2023  Slovenia Tadej Pogačar UAE Team Emirates
2024  Great Britain Stephen Williams Israel–Premier Tech
2025  Slovenia Tadej Pogačar UAE Team Emirates XRG

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